17 May 2004
"My loan officer recommended a Libor ARM, said it was a good deal. Is
this true?"
It could be true. Libor ARMs may have lower margins than other ARMs
because of their appeal to foreign investors. But that doesn’t
necessarily mean that you will get the lower margin, or that if you do,
it won’t be offset by some other feature of the ARM that disadvantages
you.
I advise against selecting an ARM based on the index, or any other one
feature. You don’t buy a car because of its tires. Like a car, ARMs have
several important features, and you should select one because all the
features add up to an attractive instrument.
Libor is short for the London InterBank Offer Rate, the interest rate
offered for U.S. dollar deposits by a group of large banks, including
some US banks, in London. There are actually several Libors
corresponding to different deposit maturities. Rates are quoted for
1-month, 3-month, 6-month and 12-month deposits.
A Libor ARM is an adjustable rate mortgage on which the interest rate is
tied to a specified Libor. After an initial period during which the rate
is fixed, it is adjusted to equal the most recent value of the Libor
plus a margin, subject to any adjustment cap.
For example, on April 26, 2004, one lender was offering a 6-month Libor
ARM at a start rate of 3%, zero points, and a margin of 1.625%. The new
rate 6 months later will be 1.625% plus the 6-month Libor at that time.
If the Libor is (say) 2.625%, the new rate will be 1.625% + 2.625% =
4.25%. If the adjustment cap that limits the size of rate changes is 1%,
however, the new rate will be the start rate of 3% + the cap of 1% = 4%.
Libor ARMs do have some special features:
Low Margins for A-Quality Borrowers: Libor ARMs were developed to meet
the needs of foreign investors looking to minimize their interest rate
risk on dollar-denominated investments. A foreign bank that buys the
6-month Libor ARM containing a 1.625% margin can borrow the funds it
needs in the inter-bank market for 6 months at the 6-month Libor. The
bank pays the depositor Libor, and it earns Libor + 1.625% on the ARM.
The margin is locked in, except to the extent that changes in Libor are
not fully matched by changes in the ARM rate because of rate caps.
Because of the reduced risk, investors in Libor ARMs are willing to
accept a smaller margin than is common on other ARMs. On April 26, 2004,
for example, the Libor margin available to A-quality borrowers was as
low as 1.50%, compared to 2.25 – 2.75% on ARMs indexed to other series.
But not everyone can benefit from the low margin. On the same day that
the lender cited above was offering a 6-month Libor ARM at 3% with a
1.625% margin, a sub-prime lender was offering a 6-month Libor ARM to
borrowers with D-credit at 10% with a 7% margin!
Attractive Buydowns: On 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, borrowers can
usually "buy down" the rate by ¼% by paying about 1.5 points. I have
seen 6-month Libor ARMs (which also have a term of 30 years) that allow
the borrower to buy down the rate and margin by ¼% for only 3/8 of a
point. This is an incredible bargain, but the Libors that offer it may
have an unusually high maximum rate.
No Negative Amortization: Libor ARMs don’t offer the payment
flexibility, nor the associated risks, of negative amortization ARMs.
High Volatility: Libor is about as volatile as rates on short-term US
Government securities, and more volatile than the COFI, CODI and MTA
indexes.
But don’t select a Libor ARM for its special features. Select it because
all its features in combination make it more attractive than the other
mortgages you are comparing it to. It will be more attractive than the
others if, during the period you expect to have the mortgage, the
interest savings early in that period (relative to the other mortgages)
outweigh the risk of possible interest rate and payment increases later
on.
The best way to make such a judgment is by comparing changes in the
interest rate and payment on the Libor ARM with those on other
mortgages. Calculator 7b makes it easy to do this on any assumptions you
make about how market interest rates change in the future. For an even
easier approach using my assumptions about interest rate change, go to
the
Libor Loan Tutorial.