With no end to the housing crisis in
sight, the need to modify loan contracts to make payments more
affordable is greater than ever. While the number of modifications is
rising steadily, it is running far behind the need. In the first quarter
of 2009, the loan servicers reporting to the Government reduced the
interest rate or loan balance on only 120,465 loans. This is an annual
rate of about half a million, which is no more than one-fifth of what is
needed.
According to Joseph Smith of Default
Mitigation Management LLC,
who has been modifying loans on a small scale for several years, “After
you get the borrower’s complete package, it only takes about 45 minutes
from beginning to end to modify a loan. This includes reviewing a budget
with the borrower (20 min.), determining surplus income (2 min.),
completing the loan modification analysis worksheet (10 minutes),
generating a special forbearance and mailing it out (10 minutes), and
calling the borrower to report the result (3 min.). A few minutes more
may be needed for additional calls, generating final modification
documents and follow ups, so let’s call it an hour, which is
conservative.”
Lets be even more conservative and
assume 2 hours. JP Morgan-Chase has announced that it now has 3500 loan
modification counselors.
Using the 2-hour assumption, these 3500 workers on their own, ignoring
the counselors employed by all other servicing firms, could modify
70,000 cases a week, and 3.5 million a year! Clearly there is an
enormous gap between the productivity of servicers today, and what is
possible.
The reasons for the gap are well
understood. Servicers over the years focused their system development on
reducing the costs of dealing with borrowers who paid. Those with
payment problems were few in number and could be handled by a relatively
small staff. But as the number of problem cases has exploded, the
servicers have been overwhelmed. Most have responded by substantially
expanding their counseling staffs, but the systems needed for the staffs
to work effectively have been lacking.
Smith notes that “While most loan
servicers are trying to remedy the situation, progress has been slow.
Most servicers have inadequate call routing for in-bound calls, have
inadequate mail rooms, fax and image facilities, lack systems for
tracking files, require excessive numbers of hand-offs in the decision
process, and manage largely in a fire-fighting crisis mode.”
The results are well-known to the
borrowers and their advisors who have tried to get their loans modified.
It takes forever, and sometimes it is impossible to reach the counselor
with whom they had their initial contact. They may have to begin again
with someone else, who may not be able to find their file, and who may
tell them a different story than the previous counselor.
If the borrower has not submitted all
the proper forms, each one filled out correctly, the file is likely to
be put aside, which the borrower may not know about unless they inquire
and are lucky enough to speak to someone who knows. Files put aside
often get lost, which means that the borrower has to submit the entire
file again, without necessarily knowing what was wrong with the previous
submission.
In some cases, a document submission
gets lost in a chaotic fax room and is never logged in. When the
borrower calls, no one they speak to knows anything about their
submission.
Delays are compounded by needless
divisions of responsibilities, including analysts who check the math and
negotiators who deal with the borrower. Smith notes that “if the analyst
has a week of cases in his pipeline and the negotiator has the same, the
borrower’s total wait is 2 weeks, even if everything else goes
smoothly.”
An additional problem for the
borrowers, counselors and lawyers seeking modifications
The bottom line is that a process that
could be done within the day takes weeks or months, and often doesn’t
get done at all.
The one thing that could break this
logjam effectively is widespread adoption of a web portal that would
directly connect servicers with borrowers and counselors (“users”). The
portal would allow users to access a servicer’s specific requirements,
and submit modification applications just by clicking a “Submit” button.
This would automatically forward the application to the servicer, who
would also be alerted by email that a new borrower file has been
created. All subsequent messages by the servicer and the user, and all
new documents submitted by either, would be recorded and dated in the
user’s file.
The portal would replace communication by phone and fax with documents
and messages left in the portal. The correct forms are filled out
because the user receives them directly from the servicer..
The long telephone waits,
inability to find the same person, and conflicting information from
different people, are
eliminated. The Portal
allows both parties to view all messages by sender and date, so there
can be no misunderstanding of what was said, when it was said, and by
whom. All documents remain in the portal, can be accessed by either
party, and cannot get lost.
I would not have bothered writing this if a portal that did all these
things did not exist. It does, developed by Default Mitigation
Management headed by
Right now the portal is being used by attorneys with a number of
enlightened servicers who account for about three quarters of all loans.
The servicer pays a small processing fee for each file while the
attorney pays nothing.
The portal needs to be opened to counselors and borrowers, hopefully in
that order. Getting counselors on the portal depends mainly on the major
counseling organizations (Hope Now and Neighborworks), who have not as
yet committed to it.
If the counselors don’t come aboard
shortly, I look for DMM and the servicers to open the portal directly to
borrowers.
July 22, 2009 Note: A draft of this article was sent to Treasury, who forwarded it to Fannie Mae, which has responsibility for administering the program. Fannie responded immediately, requesting a demo from DMM, which they received on July 20. At the demo, it was suggested to the participants from Fannie that the development of a uniform application would be helpful.