How Do Taxes Figure in the Loan Repayment Decision?
September 18, 2006, Revised October 18, 2006, December 11, 2006,
Reviewed July 21, 2009
"In your columns on repaying mortgage loans, you skip over a detail that
I have often wondered about…I don't think that saving 6% interest on a
mortgage is quite the same as earning 6% on other investments because
mortgage interest is deductible… I get further confused by the
possibility that the income taxes due on other investments may be
deferred if they are in a 401K or other tax-deferred retirement
account…"
In numerous articles, I have argued that mortgage repayment should be
viewed as an investment with a yield equal to the mortgage rate. And
that this yield should be compared to those available on other low-risk
investments. The "low-risk" qualifier is important, because mortgage
repayment has zero risk to the borrower.
You are right that in making such comparisons, account should be taken
of possible different tax treatment. Interest is deductible on up to $1
million of mortgages used to purchase or improve property,* but other
investments can be subject to different tax rules. Four different
situations are worth distinguishing.
The Alternative Investment is Fully Taxable
In this case, the before-tax rate on the mortgage, say 6%, can be
compared to the before-tax yield on the other investment. If it is a
corporate bond yielding 5% before-tax, the mortgage repayment is the
better investment.
We could also make this comparison after-tax, but if the applicable tax
rate is the same, the result will be the same. The after-tax return is
equal to R x (1 – T) where R is the before-tax return and T is the tax
rate. If the borrower is in the 40% tax bracket, the after-tax return on
mortgage repayment is 6% x (1 - .4), or 3.6%, and the after-tax return
on the bond is 3%. Whether measured before or after tax, mortgage
repayment is the better investment.
BUT: The applicable tax rate may not be the same for borrowers with high
incomes, who lose some of their deductions. In the extreme case, the
mortgage deduction may be entirely lost, in which case the after-tax
return on mortgage repayment would be 6%. The after-tax return on the
bond would not change. Consult your tax adviser to see what the
applicable mortgage tax rate is for you.
The Alternative Investment is Tax Exempt
In this case, you must make the comparison after-tax for them to be
comparable. If the alternative investment is a 4% tax-exempt bond, for
example, the 4% after-tax return beats the 3.6% after-tax return on
mortgage repayment, but it would not beat the 6% return for a
high-income borrower for whom mortgage interest is not deductible.
The Alternative Investment is Taxable But the Tax Payment is Deferred
This is the most difficult situation to analyze, and it requires an
assumption regarding when the taxes will be paid on the alternative
investment. The longer the deferment, the lower the effective tax rate
-- the tax rate adjusted for the deferment.
The best way to compare investment in mortgage repayment with investment
in a tax-deferred fund is to compare future values at the end of the
period when the taxes are due on the tax-deferred investment. You need a
financial calculator, but it is pretty simple.
For example, lets compare investing $100,000 in repayment of a 6%
mortgage with investing it in a fund that pays 5% before-tax, and taxes
are deferred for 10 years. For the mortgage, we enter 10 years for the
period, 3.6% (if that is the applicable rate) for the after tax return,
$100,000 as the present value, and we obtain a future value of $142,429.
For the alternative investment, we do the same except we enter 5% as the
return, and we get a future value of $162,889. However, taxes are now
due on the $62,889 of interest, which reduces the future value to
$137,734. The mortgage repayment does a little better.
For readers who are calculator-challenged, here is a quick and dirty
shortcut. If your tax rate is about .4, multiply it by the following
numbers for tax-deferred investments lasting for the specified number of
years: For 5 years, .95, 10 years, .89, 15 years, .84, 20 years, .78,
and 25 years, .72. If your tax rate is closer to .2, use the following
adjustment factors: .98, .95, .91, .88 and .85.
Using the previous example, multiply the tax rate of .4 by .89 to get an
effective tax rate of .356. Multiplying the before-tax return of 5% by
(1 - .356), you get an after-tax return of 3.22%.
The Alternative Investment Shields Current Income
This is the easiest case. An alternative investment that shields current
income is going to be the best possible investment for anyone who pays
income taxes. It will beat mortgage repayment hands-down. The amount of
income that can be shielded is always restricted by law, but those not
using this privilege to the maximum are guilty of financial self-abuse.
*On mortgages used for purposes other than the purchase or improvement
of homes, interest can be deducted only on $100,000.