April 24, 2000, Revised
October 31, 2002,
March 14, 2003, September 7,
2004, January 8, 2007An FHA borrower
in 2007 had blemished credit that was acceptable
to FHA, a ratio of total
debt service to income of 41% or less,
doesn’t need a loan larger than
the FHA maximum, which varies by county, and can put 3%
down in cash.
“What type of borrower finds it advantageous to
take an FHA loan?”
The answer to this
question is a little different today than in 2000 when I first addressed it
because FHA’s market niche is smaller. This reflects developments in the
conventional sector that have not been matched by FHA, including the growth
in popularity of loans with no-down payment and interest-only monthly
payments, and option ARMs. Reflecting these developments, FHA’s market share
fell from about 15% in 2000 to about 5% in 2006.
The FHA Market Niche in 2007
An FHA borrower:
*Has blemished credit acceptable
to FHA, but not strong enough for prime pricing in the conventional market.
*Has
a ratio of total debt service to
income of 41% or less.
*Doesn’t need a loan larger than
the FHA maximum, which varies by county. (In 2006, it ranged from $200,160
to $362,790 in the highest cost counties.)
*Can put 3%
down in cash.
*Doesn’t want an interest-only
mortgage or an option ARM.
Credit Requirements
At risk of
oversimplifying, credit standards in the conventional market range from A+
to D-, and within that range, FHA would be about B- or C+.
FHA credit
requirements overlap the higher levels of sub-prime requirements. A good
illustration is the underwriting rules applicable to a prior foreclosure.
With exceptions, FHA won’t accept a loan applicant who has had a foreclosure
within the prior 3 years. Sub-prime lenders may have a 3-year rule for their
best credit grade, but the period scales down by degrees and might be only 1
year for the lowest grade.
Similarly, the maximum ratio of total
debt service to income acceptable to FHA is 41%, which is generally high
relative to prime standards, but well below what passes in the non-prime
sector.
A borrower who meets FHA credit
standards will usually do better with an FHA than with a sub-prime loan,
despite having to pay a mortgage insurance premium. The rate will be lower,
the borrower will have access to a large menu of mortgages, and there are no
prepayment penalties. Most mortgages in the sub-prime market are 2-year
adjustables with large margins, which means a high probability of a rate
increase after 2 years, and they have prepayment penalties, usually for 3
years.
FHA Loan Limits
The loan limits on FHAs are a major
deterrent. HUD has asked Congress to allow the same loan amounts on FHA as
on loans purchased by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. In 2007, this would have
meant an increase to $417,000 uniform across the country.
Down Payment Requirements
In 2000, FHA’s 3% down
payment compared to 5% on most conventional loan programs. In 2006, however,
zero down loans were widely available in the conventional sector while the
FHA minimum of 3% remained unchanged. Since zero-down loans have long been
available under the VA program, FHA is now the only sector that does not
have them.
This disadvantage of
FHA is partially offset by down payment assistance programs available to FHA
borrowers. One form of such assistance is second mortgages at preferential
rates, which is the preferred method of public agencies at the city, county
or state levels. These agencies have their own eligibility rules independent
of FHA.
A second form of
assistance is cash contributions from non-profit corporations. These have no
repayment obligation, but the funds provided come from home sellers who take
account of the contribution in setting their sales prices.
Neither type of
assistance is a good substitute for a zero down program, a bill for which
was introduced in Congress in 2004. So far, however, it has not been passed.
Interest-Only Mortgages and Option ARMs
These instruments
exploded in popularity after 2000, but were not available under FHA and
there is little likelihood that they ever will.
Prospects For a Revival of FHA's Market Share
Congressional
authorization of no-down payment loans and a rise in loan limits would
increase FHA’s market share. So would an increase in public awareness that
some sub-prime borrowers would qualify for, and do better with FHA loans.
A marked increase in
FHA’s market share would result from an explosion in foreclosures, which
would cause a drastic restriction of lending terms in the conventional
sector. This is not something I would care to see, but if it happened we
will be pleased that FHA was there to help cushion the blow.