Can Appreciation Bail You Out of a House Purchase You Can't Afford?
November 6, 2006, February 22, 2007
"I have been offered a tremendous deal…A house that appraises at
$364,000 that I can buy for $294,000, with 100% financing and the
builder will pay all my closing costs…I can afford the payment for only
6 months, it will take all my savings, but the broker says that I will
be able to do a cash-out refinance in 6 months based on the appraisal
and net about $60,000, which will cover the payment for another two
years…"
You need a reality check. If the builder could sell the unit for
$364,000, he would not be offering it to you for $294,000. Appraisals
done for builders usually produce the numbers the builders want. That
this particular builder, in addition to offering the "bargain" price, is
also willing to pay your settlement costs, is a reflection not of his
generosity but of his desperation to sell the house.
Further, the probability that you will be able to do a cash-out
refinance in 6 months is vanishingly small. Lenders won’t do a cash-out
refinance in excess of your equity in the house. Since the true value of
your house when you close is no more than $294,000, and your mortgages
add to the same amount, you will have no equity. Payments of principal
over the first 6 months will amount to about $1,000. The other $59,000
of equity you are looking for would require price appreciation of 20%
over 6 months. That conceivably could happen in a go-go market, but the
go-go markets are all gone.
What is distressing about your story is the willingness of the builder
and broker to take advantage of your inexperience and naiveté. They rid
themselves of what to them is a minor business problem by leading you
into financial disaster. Don’t fall for it.