September 24, 2003, Revised November 12, 2004, Revised May 17, 2007,
November 7, 2008, Reviewed July 16, 2009
Shopping for a mortgage effectively requires an 8 step process, the
first step being the decision about whether you should shop at all, as
opposed to retaining a trusted advisor to do it for you. If you do it
yourself, you must decide on the mortgage features you want, determine
your market niche, formulate your pricing strategy, solicit price
quotes, select the loan provider, lock the price, and protect yourself
against wrong-doing until the closing.
Step 1: Decide If You Are a Potential Shopper:
Not everyone is a potential shopper. Some will do a lot better
entrusting that responsibility to someone else. Read the following
statements, giving yourself 1 point if a statement marked (1) best
describes you, 2 points if a statement marked (2) describes you best,
and 1.5 points if you are in-between.
A1. I like to bargain and have no hesitancy in speaking up if I think
someone is trying to take advantage of me.
A2. I avoid confrontation at all costs.
B1. I feel that I either know, or have the capacity to learn, as much
about mortgages as I will need to know to take care of myself in the
marketplace.
B2. I feel overwhelmed by the complexity of mortgages, and I don’t have
the time, energy or desire to educate myself about them.
C1. When significant money is at stake, I like to control things myself.
C2. When significant money is at stake, I like to find someone I can
trust to make critical decisions for me.
D1. I feel very comfortable using a computer.
D2. I am computer-phobic.
If your total score is above 6, find a mortgage broker to be your agent
in shopping for a mortgage. I recommend Upfront Mortgage Brokers (UMBs)
because they are prepared to provide this service at a set fee,
negotiated in advance. Once the fee is established, your interest and
that of the broker are closely aligned. See
Upfront Mortgage Brokers.
Potential shoppers score 6 or lower. What follows is directed primarily
at them.
Step 2: Decide the Mortgage Features You Want:
Before entering the market, shoppers should decide the type of mortgage,
term, points, down payment and lock period. For help on this, see my
Tutorial on Mortgage Features.
You can’t compare prices of different loan providers accurately unless
you can specify exactly what you are shopping for. When you shop for an
automobile, you decide beforehand that you want, e.g., a 4-door Toyota
Corolla with accessory package 101. You must do the same when you shop
for a mortgage.
It is especially important to know exactly what you want before you lock
the price. If you change your mind after you lock and market prices have
risen in the meantime, many lenders will allow a change only at the
higher price. See
Changing the Loan After You Lock,
Step 3: Determine Your Market Niche:
The interest rate and/or points on a mortgage vary with a number of
borrower, property and transaction features. Loan officers quoting
prices will assume the features commanding the lowest price. See
What Market Niche Are You In?
The applicant who commands the lowest price has excellent credit, is a
citizen or permanent resident alien, is purchasing or refinancing a
single-family detached house as a primary residence, will not take cash
out of the transaction if refinancing, will not have a second mortgage
at closing, will escrow taxes and insurance, is the sole borrower (or,
if one of several, all occupy the property), has enough cash from own
sources to meet down payment requirements and settlement costs, has
sufficient income to meet standard maximum ratios of housing expense and
total expense to income, and can fully document required income and
assets.
To obtain valid price quotes, shoppers must indicate all deviations
between their deal and the lowest-price deal. Make a list of them, and
whenever you are soliciting price quotes, you offer the list.
Step 4: Formulate Your Price Selection Strategy:
Selecting the best price on a mortgage is not like selecting the best
price on a toaster. Mortgages have three (or more) price components,
toasters only one.
Pricing Strategy on Fixed-Rate Mortgages (FRMs): Once you know your loan
amount, assume an interest rate which I will call your "shopping rate"
and find the total fees in dollars at that rate. The fact that interest
rates are generally quoted in 1/8% facilitates this approach.
Total fees should include all charges by the lender and mortgage broker
if there is one. Fees expressed as a percent should be converted into
dollars by multiplying them by the loan amount. For example, if the loan
is for $150,000 at 1 point ($1,500), with other lender fees of $800 and
broker fees of $3,000, the total fee in dollars amount to $5300.
Ignore the cost of title-related services, and settlement services. If
you are in an area in which it can pay to shop for them, you can do it
after selecting the loan and lender. When it comes time, you can save
money by buying your title insurance on-line from
Entitle Direct. Hazard insurance you also buy on your own. Ignore
any government charges, escrows and per diem interest because you can’t
shop them.
You are now positioned to ask the loan provider “If these are my
mortgage features and niche adjustments, what are your points and total
fees at (say) 5.875%?” You must be clear that “total fees” refers to
payments to the lender and the broker, excluding payments to third
parties, per diem interest and escrows.
The best Shopping Rate for your purpose can only be found through trial
and error. If you begin with a Shopping Rate that elicits larger total
dollar quotes than you want to pay, for example, raise it. As your
Shopping Rate goes up, the total dollar quotes will go down.
An alternative to soliciting total dollar quotes for a given Shopping
Rate is to combine different rate and total dollars into a single
measure of Interest Cost (IC). Economists call this measure an “internal
rate of return”, or IRR. The Annual Percentage Rate (APR), which is a
mandatory disclosure, is an IRR. The problem with the APR is that it is
calculated over the entire term of the loan, which makes it a biased
measure for borrowers with short horizons.
If you know you will be in your house for 10 years or longer, you can
use the APR because the error is small. Otherwise, you should compare
interest costs over your own shorter time horizon. You can do that using
my calculator 9c
Interest Cost Calculator: Comparing Two Fixed-Rate Mortgages.
There is one way to shop a single price that has become popular in
recent years. This is to shop for the lowest interest rate with zero
settlement costs. The lender pays all costs, including third party
charges. This approach makes it almost as easy to compare mortgage
prices as toaster prices. Just make sure all costs are covered except
per diem interest, escrows, and transactions taxes. And make sure
nothing is added to the balance. See
Refinancing With a "No-Cost" Mortgage.
This is a great strategy if your time horizon is less than 5 years. The
lender pays your settlement costs in exchange for higher interest
payments, but these payments don’t go on long enough to wipe out the
benefit. After about 5 years, however, the higher interest payments
convert the strategy into a loser.
Pricing Strategy on ARMs and Balloon Loans: Both ARMs and balloons have
fixed-rates for some initial period. For balloons, that period is almost
always either 5 or 7 years. For ARMs, it can range from a month to 10
years.
If you know that you will be out of the house before the initial rate
period ends, you can use the same price selection strategy as on an FRM.
As far as you are concerned, it is an FRM. In using calculator 9c to
measure interest cost, enter the initial rate period as the period “you
expect to stay in your house”. The calculator will ignore what happens
after that period.
The problem is that virtually no one can be certain that they will be
gone by the end of any initial rate period. Life has a bad habit of
changing our minds. You should be aware of what can happen at the end of
that period, and factor that into your decision process.
In the case of balloon loans, that is not difficult. At the end of the
initial rate period, you must refinance at the market rate prevailing at
that time. Since all balloons are equally bad in that regard, select the
one that is the best deal over the initial rate period. The pricing
strategy for a balloon thus turns out to be the same as that for an FRM.
ARMs, however, have built-in protections against rate increases after
the initial rate period, and these may differ from one ARM to another.
If two 5-year ARMs have the same interest cost over the 5 years, you
want the one that exposes you to the least risk of rate increases at the
end of 5 years.
Unfortunately, this is not easy to determine because it is affected by a
number of ARM features and information on these features won’t be
provided to you in a comprehensible form unless you ask. Print out
Information Needed to Evaluate an ARM, and have the loan officer
fill it in for any ARM you are considering. You then have what you need
to use calculators 7b or 7c, and 9a or 9b. These calculators will tell
you what will happen to your interest rate and monthly payment at the
end of the initial rate period if 1) the interest rate index doesn’t
change; 2) the index goes through the roof (a “worse case”); or 3) the
index follows any other future scenario you choose to examine.
Step 5: Solicit Price Quotes:
In soliciting price quotes, you need to consider whether the quote is
valid, and where you get it.
Validity: To be valid, mortgage price quotes must be:
*
Complete, which means inclusive of lender and broker fees expressed in
dollars, as well as those expressed as a percent of the loan. On
adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), it also means inclusion of information
on features affecting the interest rate and payment when the initial
rate period ends.
*Timely, which means that the prices are live at the time they are
conveyed to the shopper.
*Niche-adjusted, which means that the prices are adjusted for all the
ways in which the shopper’s transaction differs from the generic
assumptions used by lenders in developing their best prices.
*Honest, which means that the loan provider would be willing to lock the
rate and points quoted, rather than low-balling to get the business, and
is willing to guarantee fixed-dollar fees.
Sources: One source of price quotes is individual loan officers
recommended by your sales agent if it is a purchase transaction, or by
other borrowers. Provide them with your Mortgage Features and Niche
Adjustments. If you are shopping an ARM, include the blank table on
Information Needed to Evaluate an ARM. Request that quotes include
fixed-dollar fees, and that they be emailed or faxed.
A second source of price quotes is internet mortgage auction sites.
These sites ask you to fill out a questionnaire covering the loan
request, property, personal finances, and contact information. (It is
their version of your Mortgage Features and Niche Adjustments). The
sites use this information to select the lenders, usually up to 4, to
whom the information is sent. The selected lenders then send price
quotes to you based on the same information, hopefully on the same day.
This is a quick and easy way to obtain up to 4 price quotes. However,
the niche adjustments may or may not be complete, they may not ask you
about your mortgage preferences, and they may not include information on
fixed-dollar fees or on important ARM features. Hence, you probably will
need to request a second round. The integrity of the quotes is no more
verifiable than those you get by directly soliciting loan officers
yourself.
Auction sites include : Cityloans.com, Getsmart.com, Lendingtree.com,
Interestratesonline.com, Loanapp.com, Loanatlas.com, Loanhounds.com,
Loanweb.com, Lowestmortgage.com, Mortgageexpo.com, and
Mortgagetrader.com.
A third source of price quotes is single-lender internet sites. They are
less convenient than auction sites, since you can only get one quote per
site. However, you choose your mortgage features, and the price quotes
are more likely to be complete. Furthermore, if your loan is priced
on-line it is an honest price. They can’t give you a low-ball quote to
snare your business, then raise the price when you lock, because you can
monitor the price when you lock.
Single lender sites vary greatly in the extent of their niche
adjustments. The more questions they ask the user, the more complete the
niche adjustment can be. However, many lenders are afraid to ask too
many questions on their web sites for fear the user will become
discouraged and leave.
The trick, therefore, is to determine whether the questions posed by a
site have captured your particular Niche Adjustments. If you are buying
a two-family house, for example, and you are asked about “Type of
Property” with “Two-family house” one possible answer, then you know
that they adjust for that.
To make it easier and safer to shop single lender sites, I developed the
“Upfront Mortgage Lender” certification. The requirements include
filling out a niche table, which allows a shopper to tell at a glance
whether the niche into which the shopper falls is priced on-line by the
lender. Complete pricing is also a requirement. As of July 16, 2009,
there were 7 UMLs, see
List of
Upfront Mortgage Lenders.
Step 6: Select The Loan Provider:
Lenders who price high often argue that service quality is equally
important. “You wouldn’t hire a lawyer or an architect based strictly on
price, would you?” The problem with this argument is that there is very
little reliable information available to borrowers on the service
quality of loan providers. Furthermore, there is no reason whatever to
believe that lenders who price high provide better service.
There is one particular service, however, that shoppers may want to
consider in making their final selection. This is the lender’s
requirements for locking the price.
Some lenders refuse to lock until a borrower demonstrates commitment to
the deal by completing one or more critical steps in the lending
process, including an application. Other lenders will lock based on very
little. We would expect that lenders who make it easy to lock would
quote higher prices because they have higher lock costs. Some shoppers
will lock with them as protection against a rate increase while they
continue to shop for a better deal elsewhere. However, it doesn’t always
work out that way.
If two lenders have the same price, but one will lock you today while
the other won’t lock you for 3 days, you should go with the first. This
is especially the case if you have no way to verify the validity of the
changes in the market that occur over the 3 days.
Step 7: Lock The Price:
Most borrowers lock as soon as possible, and you can’t get into trouble
doing that. Allowing the price to “float” until shortly before closing
can be either a good gamble, meaning that the odds are in your favor, or
it can be bad gamble. Which it is has nothing to do with whether market
interest rates go up or down over the period, because that is not
predictable.
Allowing the price to float is a good gamble only if all the following
conditions are met:
*You can afford the hit if market rates go up. If your income is only
marginally adequate to qualify, it would be foolish to risk being
disqualified by a rate increase.
*You can monitor your price day by day. In general, this is possible
only if your specific deal is priced on the lender’s web site.
*The lender charges lower prices for shorter lock periods. This means
that if the market is stable, your price will drop as the lock period
shortens.
For example, you have 60 days to closing and the quote is 5% and 1 point
for a 60-day lock, .875 points for a 45-day lock, .75 points for a
30-day lock, and .625 points for a 15-day lock. If you float until 5
days before closing and the market does not change, you save .375
points, the difference between the 60-day and the 15-day lock prices.
Some mortgage brokers do this as a matter of course, ie, they “lock” the
borrower at their own risk at the 60-day price but don’t lock with the
lender until they can get the 15-day price.
This is a good gamble because you win if interest rates neither rise nor
fall, but it remains a gamble because you lose if interest rates rise.
If the lender charges the same price for a 15-day as for a 60-day lock,
it is no longer a good gamble, since you don’t profit in a stable
market. If you can’t monitor your price, it is a bad gamble because you
are then at the mercy of the lender to tell you what the market price
is.
Locking the price should end the shopping process, but unfortunately it
doesn’t. When it comes to mortgages, “it isn’t over till its over”. If
you don’t watch yourself, you can be victimized by “lender fee
inflation” and/or by “contract knavery”.
Step 8: Cover Your Rear:
Borrowers need to be alert through the closing.
Lender Fee Inflation: When you lock the price of the loan, you are not
locking the whole price. You are locking the market-sensitive part,
consisting of interest rate and points. Lender fees specified in dollars
are not market sensitive and are not locked. Further, such fees do not
usually appear in media ads that show mortgage prices, and are seldom
volunteered to shoppers. They are shown on the Good Faith Estimate of
settlement (GFE), along with all other settlement costs. However, the
GFE need not be provided to borrowers until three business days after
receipt of an application. This is too late to help shoppers.
But it gets worse. Lenders are not bound by the numbers on the GFE,
which are “good faith estimates”. The GFE concept made some sense with
regard to third party services, such as title insurance. It never made
any sense with regard to lender charges, however, because lenders know
their own charges with certainty. The GFE has thus provided a cloak
behind which some rogue lenders extract additional fees from
unsuspecting borrowers. See
Legal Thievery at the Closing Table.
This is not a problem if you are dealing with a mortgage broker. Brokers
know the fees of each lender they deal with, and will not tolerate
lenders taking advantage of their clients. Fee inflation puts no money
in brokers’ pockets. The problem arises in dealing with lenders.
Some internet lenders include their fixed-dollar fees in their price
quotes, and guarantee that these will be the fees charged at closing.
This is a requirement to be certified as a UML.
In soliciting price quotes from other lenders, ask them to guarantee
their fixed-dollar fees. If they agree and you want to push your luck,
ask if they will include credit check and property appraisal charges,
which they order but you pay for. They may be reluctant because these
charges can vary from case to case. Your fallback is to ask them to
guarantee not to mark them up. To make sure you have no surprises at
closing, get it in writing. Fixed-dollar fees should be on the lock
confirmation statement.
Contract Chicanery: The mortgage note is a contract between the lender
and the borrower, but ordinarily the borrower does not see the contract
until the closing, and few read it even then. Generally this is not
problematic, but it can be if the lender slips something in that
disadvantages the borrower, without the knowledge of the borrower. This
is contract chicanery.
When this happens, the offensive provision is likely to be in a rider to
the contract. Judging from my mailbox, the most common such rider is a
prepayment penalty. The inducement is a significant enhancement in the
value of the note, part of which will probably go into the pocket of the
loan officer.
It is remarkably easy to prevent this from happening. There is a line on
the Truth in Lending (TIL) form you are given after you submit your
application which says “If you pay off your loan early, you [ ] may [ ]
will not have to pay a penalty.” If there is a check in front of “may”,
it means that your loan does have a prepayment penalty, no maybes about
it. If you have not agreed to a prepayment penalty, then is when you
should catch it.
I also see contract chicanery in connection with adjustable rate
mortgages (ARMs). In the typical case, the borrower is sold an ARM based
on one or two features, and never confronts the remaining features which
are included in the note. Unlike a prepayment penalty, which must come
to light if the borrower tries to refinance, disadvantageous ARM
features can remain undetected indefinitely. To prevent this, collect
all the relevant information about the ARMs for which you shop.