18 April 2006, November 14, 2008
The down payment is the difference between the loan amount and the lower
of sale price or appraised value. See
What Is
the Down Payment?
Many borrowers have no down payment decision to make because they don’t
have the money for one. Their challenge is qualifying for a loan without
a down payment, for which purpose excellent credit is critically
important. Note: When this paper was revised on November 14, ,2008, zero
down payment loans had disappeared except for VA loans. The smallest was
3% on FHAs. See The
Down
Payment.Reemerges.
Borrowers with enough money to make a down payment larger than the
minimum, who are not sure exactly how much to put down, do have a
decision to make. It is similar to the decision about whether or not to
pay points, in that it is best viewed as an investment decision. You pay
money now and receive a return in the future. It is a good decision if
the return is high relative to other investment options.
There are important differences, however, between investing in points
and investing in a larger down payment. One difference is in the amounts
required. If you have surplus cash equal to 1% of the loan, you can earn
a return of 20% or more by buying down the rate, provided you hold the
mortgage for 5 years or longer. The same amount used to increase the
down payment will only yield a return equal to the mortgage rate, or a
little higher if you are also paying points, but well below the return
on points.
To generate a higher yield from investment in a larger down payment, the
investment must flip the loan into a lower mortgage insurance or
interest rate category. Mortgage insurance premium categories, expressed
in down payments, are generally 3-4.99%, 5-9.99%, 10-14.99%, 15-17.99%,
and 18-19.99%. Where lenders pay for the mortgage insurance and price it
in the rate, they use the same categories.
For example, if a borrower taking a 6% mortgage at zero points with
mortgage insurance considers raising the down payment from 5% to 7%, the
loan will remain in the 5-9.99% mortgage insurance premium category. The
premium will remain the same, and the return on investment will be
limited to the interest saved on the reduction in loan amount, which is
6%.
If the borrower invests an additional 5% instead of 2%, however, the
loan shifts into the 10-14.99% mortgage insurance premium category.
Since the premium is lower, the return on investment rises to 11.6%.
(This and all other returns are calculated over 5 years using calculator
12a
Down Payment Calculator: Rate of Return on Larger Down Payment.)
Occasionally, a borrower’s desired down payment results in a loan amount
slightly above the conforming loan limit—the maximum size mortgage that
can be purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac ($417,000 in 2008). In
such case, an increase in down payment that drops the loan amount below
the maximum would also reduce the interest rate.
If the increase in down payment from 5% to 10% in the previous example
not only reduced the mortgage insurance premium but also brought the
loan amount below the conforming loan limit, the rate would drop from 6%
to about 5.625%. In such case, the return on the investment in a larger
down payment would rise from 11.6% to 17.9%.
When mortgage insurance is paid by the lender and incorporated in the
interest rate, the return on an increment to the down payment that flips
the loan into a lower rate category is highest when the initial down
payment is low. This is seen most graphically in the sub-prime market
where risk-based pricing is pervasive. The following schedule is taken
from a price sheet of a sub-prime lender on September 9, 2005, and
applies to 30-year FRMs made to borrowers with credit scores above 680.
|
Down Payment
Increase |
Interest Rate Reduction |
Yield on Down Payment
Increase |
|
25% to 30% |
6.60% to 6.55% |
7.3% |
|
20% to 25% |
6.80% to 6.60% |
9.8 |
|
15% to 20% |
7.05% to 6.80% |
11.1 |
|
10% to 15% |
7.35% to 7.05% |
12.3 |
|
5% to 10% |
7.90% to 7.35% |
17.4 |
|
0% to 5% |
8.55% to 7.90% |
20.3 |
Note that increasing the down payment from 25% to 30% reduced the
interest rate only slightly, and the return on investment was only 7.3%.
But an increase from 0% to 5% dropped the rate substantially, with a
return on investment of 20.3%. All rates of return are calculated from
calculator 12a.
While the sub-prime market and zero-down loans were both gone by 2008, I
have retained this table because it captures the core truth about
investing in a larger down payment. The return on investment is higher
the lower the down payment with which you begin.
In sum, investment in a larger down payment earns a return on investment
about equal to the mortgage rate unless it drops the loan amount into a
lower mortgage insurance premium or interest rate category, and/or below
the conforming loan limit, in which case the return is higher. To get
the higher return may require a down payment increase of 5% of property
value or more.
Readers looking for more can read
How
Much Should I Put Down?